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Saturday · September 26 · 12:37 PM ✦

METS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 67 degrees, overcast, wind 16 mph in from lf

Final

METS 7
Nationals 1

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 7–1 Mets

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 40% 60% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 36% 64% 2–4 ✗
Logistic Washington Nationals 42% 58% — ✗
Random Forest New York Mets 51% 49% — ✓
Consensus Washington Nationals 46% 54% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games