Sunday · September 27 · 2:05 PM ✦
METS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 62 degrees, rain, wind 14 mph l to r
Final
Mets
4
NATIONALS
6
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 4–6 Nationals
59%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 59% | 41% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games