Wednesday · September 16 · 6:45 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 84 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph r to l
Final
PHILLIES
3
Nationals
0
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 5–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–0 Phillies
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 71% | 29% | 5–2 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 54% | 46% | 5–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games