← Back to the recap

Friday · September 25 · 6:46 PM ✦

METS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from cf

Final

Mets 6
NATIONALS 7

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 6–7 Nationals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Nationals Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 58% 42% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Washington Nationals 49% 51% — ✓
Consensus New York Mets 52% 48% 4–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games