← Back to the recap

Sunday · September 13 · 1:35 PM ✦

ANGELS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to rf

Final

Angels 5
NATIONALS 6

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 5–6 Nationals

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 42% 58% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 36% 64% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 53% 47% — ✗
Random Forest Washington Nationals 47% 53% — ✓
Consensus Washington Nationals 46% 54% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games