Tuesday · September 15 · 6:45 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 78 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
Phillies
3
NATIONALS
6
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–6 Nationals
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 65% | 35% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 67% | 33% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games