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Friday · September 11 · 6:45 pm ✦

ANGELS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

Angels 3
NATIONALS 4

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 3–4 Nationals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Angels 51% 49% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Washington Nationals 39% 61% — ✓
Consensus Washington Nationals 48% 52% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games