← Back to the recap

Saturday · September 12 · 4:06 PM ✦

ANGELS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 79 degrees, overcast, wind 7 mph r to l

Final

Angels 5
NATIONALS 6

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 5–6 Nationals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 44% 55% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 40% 60% 2–3 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 61% 39% — ✗
Consensus Washington Nationals 47% 52% 3–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games