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Sunday · August 30 · 12:17 PM ✦

MARLINS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to rf

Final

MARLINS 6
Nationals 2

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 6–2 Marlins

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest Miami Marlins 55% 45% — ✓
Consensus Miami Marlins 52% 48% 3–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games