Monday · August 31 · 6:45 PM ✦
MARLINS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 83 degrees, cloudy, wind 3 mph r to l
Final
Marlins
3
NATIONALS
6
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 3–6 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | 2–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 51% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 68% | 32% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 52% | 48% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games