Saturday · August 29 · 4:06 PM ✦
MARLINS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
Marlins
4
NATIONALS
5
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 4–5 Nationals
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 67% | 33% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 69% | 31% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 54% | 46% | 3–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games