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Friday · August 28 · 6:45 pm ✦

MARLINS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from cf

Final

Marlins 2
NATIONALS 9

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 2–9 Nationals

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 67% 33% 4–2 ✗
Logistic Miami Marlins 57% 43% — ✗
Random Forest Miami Marlins 57% 43% — ✗
Consensus Miami Marlins 57% 43% 4–3 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games