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Thursday · August 27 · 1:05 PM ✦

ROCKIES @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf

Final

Rockies 1
NATIONALS 7

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 1–7 Nationals

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Colorado Rockies 58% 42% — ✗
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 59% 41% — ✗
Consensus Colorado Rockies 54% 46% 3–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games