Back to the recap

Thursday · August 13 · 4:06 PM ✦

CUBS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from lf

Final

Cubs 0
NATIONALS 7

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 0–7 Nationals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 38% 62% 4–5
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 64% 36% 4–4
Logistic Washington Nationals 49% 51%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 36% 64%
Consensus Washington Nationals 48% 52% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

60–63

49% across 123 games

Nationals this season

68–56

55% across 124 games