Tuesday · August 11 · 6:45 pm ✦
CUBS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
CUBS
8
Nationals
6
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 4–6 Washington Nationals · Actual: 8–6 Cubs
65%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Washington Nationals | 29% | 71% | 4–6 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 36% | 64% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 31% | 69% | 4–6 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 24% | 76% | 4–7 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 35% | 65% | 4–6 | ✗ |
None of the 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
60–63
49% across 123 games
Nationals this season
68–56
55% across 124 games