Wednesday · August 12 · 6:45 pm ✦
CUBS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 85 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph l to r
Final
CUBS
12
Nationals
6
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 12–6 Cubs
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 36% | 64% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games