Friday · August 7 · 6:45 pm ✦
REDS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 88 degrees, overcast, wind 9 mph out to rf
Final
Reds
3
NATIONALS
5
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 3–5 Nationals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 62% | 38% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games