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Sunday · August 9 · 12:15 PM ✦

REDS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 92 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph l to r

Final

Reds 1
NATIONALS 7

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 1–7 Nationals

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 45% 55% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 52% 48%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 65% 35%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 53% 47% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

64–59

52% across 123 games

Nationals this season

68–56

55% across 124 games