Saturday · August 8 · 6:45 pm ✦
REDS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to rf
Final
Reds
2
NATIONALS
8
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 2–8 Nationals
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 65% | 35% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 54% | 46% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games