Wednesday · July 29 · 1:06 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph in from lf
Final
BLUE JAYS
5
Nationals
2
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 5–2 Blue Jays
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 34% | 66% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games