Tuesday · July 28 · 6:45 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 80 degrees, overcast, wind 9 mph out to rf
Final
Blue Jays
6
NATIONALS
8
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 6–8 Nationals
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games