Back to the recap

Saturday · July 25 · 4:06 PM ✦

D-BACKS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 2 mph in from rf

Final

D-backs 3
NATIONALS 5

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 3–5 Nationals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 58% 42% 4–3
Logistic Washington Nationals 45% 55%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 40% 60%
Consensus Washington Nationals 49% 51% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

69–54

56% across 123 games

Nationals this season

68–56

55% across 124 games