Monday · July 27 · 6:45 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf
Final
BLUE JAYS
3
Nationals
2
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 3–2 Blue Jays
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 42% | 58% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games