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Sunday · July 26 · 1:37 PM ✦

D-BACKS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 83 degrees, cloudy, wind 5 mph out to rf

Final

D-backs 7
NATIONALS 10

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 7–10 Nationals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 47% 53% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 42% 58%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 51% 49% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

69–54

56% across 123 games

Nationals this season

68–56

55% across 124 games