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Friday · July 24 · 6:45 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf

Final

D-BACKS 3
Nationals 2

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 3–2 D-backs

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 65% 35% 5–3
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 62% 38% 5–4
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 52% 48%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 47% 53%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 54% 46% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

69–54

56% across 123 games

Nationals this season

68–56

55% across 124 games