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Wednesday · July 8 · 6:45 pm ✦

ASTROS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf

Final

Astros 2
NATIONALS 8

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 2–8 Nationals

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 45% 55% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 35% 65% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 31% 69% 3–4
Logistic Washington Nationals 46% 54%
Random Forest Houston Astros 54% 46%
Consensus Washington Nationals 44% 56% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

69–53

57% across 122 games

Nationals this season

69–56

55% across 125 games