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Wednesday · July 8 ✦

ASTROS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park.

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS

Projected: 3–4 · 4 of 6 sims agree

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Nationals Projected
Baseline Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 33% 67% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 29% 71% 2–4
Logistic Washington Nationals 38% 62%
Random Forest Houston Astros 61% 39%
Consensus Washington Nationals 42% 58% 3–4

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

51–34

60% across 85 games

Nationals this season

45–41

52% across 86 games