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Saturday · July 11 · 4:06 PM ✦

YANKEES @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from lf

Final

YANKEES 4
Nationals 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–2 Yankees

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Nationals Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 64% 36% 4–3
Logistic Washington Nationals 35% 65%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 49% 51%
Consensus New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

65–58

53% across 123 games

Nationals this season

69–56

55% across 125 games