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Saturday · July 11 · 4:06 PM ✦

YANKEES @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from lf

Final

YANKEES 4
Nationals 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–2 Yankees

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Nationals Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 64% 36% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 35% 65% — ✗
Random Forest Washington Nationals 49% 51% — ✗
Consensus New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games