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Monday · July 6 · 6:45 pm ✦

ASTROS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 86 degrees, overcast, wind 5 mph r to l

Final

Astros 11
NATIONALS 12

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 11–12 Nationals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 65% 35% 4–2
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Washington Nationals 49% 51%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 42% 58%
Consensus Houston Astros 52% 48% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

51–34

60% across 85 games

Nationals this season

45–41

52% across 86 games