Monday · July 6 · 6:45 pm ✦
ASTROS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 86 degrees, overcast, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
Astros
11
NATIONALS
12
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 11–12 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 65% | 35% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 52% | 48% | 3–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games