Tuesday · July 7 · 6:45 pm ✦
ASTROS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
ASTROS
6
Nationals
3
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 6–3 Astros
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 55% | 45% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games