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Tuesday · July 7 · 6:45 pm ✦

ASTROS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l

Final

ASTROS 6
Nationals 3

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 6–3 Astros

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 33% 67% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Houston Astros 51% 49%
Random Forest Houston Astros 55% 45%
Consensus Washington Nationals 47% 53% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

51–34

60% across 85 games

Nationals this season

45–41

52% across 86 games