Friday · July 3 · 6:45 pm ✦
PIRATES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 99 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
Pirates
5
NATIONALS
9
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–9 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58% | 42% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games