Sunday · July 5 · 1:05 PM ✦
PIRATES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 92 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 2 mph out to lf
Final
PIRATES
11
Nationals
5
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 11–5 Pirates
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Washington Nationals | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58% | 42% | 3–2 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games