Saturday · July 4 · 11:06 AM ✦
PIRATES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 93 degrees, sunny, wind 5 mph in from lf
Final
PIRATES
7
Nationals
1
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 7–1 Pirates
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 69% | 31% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 76% | 24% | 5–2 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games