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Thursday · June 25 · 6:45 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph out to cf

Final

PHILLIES 10
Nationals 5

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 10–5 Phillies

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 56% 44% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 65% 35% 4–3
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 54% 46%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 59% 41%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42% 4–3
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

55–30

65% across 85 games

Nationals this season

45–41

52% across 86 games