Tuesday · June 23 · 6:45 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 71 degrees, cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r
Final
PHILLIES
14
Nationals
9
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 14–9 Phillies
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 67% | 33% | 4–2 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–2 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
80–46
63% across 126 games
Nationals this season
70–57
55% across 127 games