Wednesday · June 24 · 6:45 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
PHILLIES
5
Nationals
4
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 5–4 Phillies
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 75% | 25% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
55–30
65% across 85 games
Nationals this season
45–41
52% across 86 games