Monday · June 22 · 6:45 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 83 degrees, overcast, wind 10 mph out to rf
Final
Phillies
1
NATIONALS
4
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 1–4 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games