Wednesday · June 17 · 1:05 PM ✦
ROYALS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to cf
Final
ROYALS
6
Nationals
2
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 6–2 Royals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games