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Tuesday · June 16 · 6:45 pm ✦

ROYALS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 78 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

Royals 4
NATIONALS 6

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 4–6 Nationals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest Washington Nationals 42% 58% — ✓
Consensus Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games