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Monday · June 15 · 6:45 pm ✦

ROYALS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph in from lf

Final

Royals 3
NATIONALS 7

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 3–7 Nationals

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 47% 53% 2–3 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 49% 51% — ✓
Random Forest Washington Nationals 46% 54% — ✓
Consensus Washington Nationals 50% 50% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games