Saturday · June 13 · 4:06 PM ✦
MARINERS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
Mariners
3
NATIONALS
8
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 3–8 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games