← Back to the recap

Friday · June 12 · 6:45 pm ✦

MARINERS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 88 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

MARINERS 10
Nationals 2

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 10–2 Mariners

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 56% 44% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Seattle Mariners 54% 46% — ✓
Random Forest Washington Nationals 48% 52% — ✗
Consensus Seattle Mariners 52% 48% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games