Wednesday · June 3 · 1:06 PM ✦
MARLINS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 79 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph in from cf
Final
MARLINS
4
Nationals
1
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 4–1 Marlins
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 42% | 58% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games