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Tuesday · June 2 · 6:45 pm ✦

MARLINS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from cf

Final

MARLINS 7
Nationals 3

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 7–3 Marlins

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 44% 56% — ✗
Random Forest Miami Marlins 62% 38% — ✓
Consensus Miami Marlins 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games