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Sunday · May 31 · 1:36 PM ✦

PADRES @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 71 degrees, sunny, wind 4 mph l to r

Final

Padres 2
NATIONALS 4

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–4 Nationals

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Nationals Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 58% 42% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic Washington Nationals 46% 54%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 46% 54%
Consensus San Diego Padres 50% 50% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

55–30

65% across 85 games

Nationals this season

46–41

53% across 87 games