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Sunday · May 31 · 1:36 PM ✦

PADRES @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 71 degrees, sunny, wind 4 mph l to r

Final

Padres 2
NATIONALS 4

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–4 Nationals

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Nationals Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 53% 47% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 58% 42% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 46% 54% — ✓
Random Forest Washington Nationals 46% 54% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 50% 50% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games