Back to the recap

Monday · June 1 · 6:47 PM ✦

MARLINS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

MARLINS 7
Nationals 3

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 7–3 Marlins

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 38% 62% 3–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 51% 49%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 62% 38%
Consensus Miami Marlins 51% 49% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

46–41

53% across 87 games

Nationals this season

46–41

53% across 87 games