Saturday · May 30 ✦
PADRES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park.
Final
Padres
4
NATIONALS
9
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 4–9 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 55% | 45% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games