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Friday · May 29 ✦

PADRES @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park.

Final

PADRES 7
Nationals 5

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 7–5 Padres

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Nationals Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 44% 56% 3–4
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 64% 36% 4–3
Logistic Washington Nationals 47% 53%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 47% 53%
Consensus San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

55–30

65% across 85 games

Nationals this season

46–41

53% across 87 games