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Friday · May 29 ✦

PADRES @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park.

Final

PADRES 7
Nationals 5

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 7–5 Padres

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Nationals Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 64% 36% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 47% 53% — ✗
Random Forest Washington Nationals 47% 53% — ✗
Consensus San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games