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Thursday · May 21 · 4:06 PM ✦

METS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 61 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph in from cf

Final

METS 2
Nationals 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 2–1 Mets

64%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Nationals Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 65% 35% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 67% 33% 5–3
Logistic New York Mets 60% 40%
Random Forest New York Mets 56% 44%
Consensus New York Mets 64% 36% 4–3
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Nationals this season

27–19

59% across 46 games