Monday · May 18 · 6:45 PM ✦
METS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 94 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph out to cf
Final
METS
16
Nationals
7
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 16–7 Mets
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Washington Nationals | 38% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games