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Monday · May 18 · 6:45 PM ✦

METS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 94 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph out to cf

Final

METS 16
Nationals 7

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 16–7 Mets

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 38% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 55% 45% 4–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 65% 35% 4–3
Logistic New York Mets 52% 48%
Random Forest New York Mets 50% 50%
Consensus New York Mets 52% 48% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Nationals this season

27–19

59% across 46 games