Wednesday · May 20 · 6:46 PM ✦
METS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 79 degrees, cloudy, wind 3 mph out to lf
Final
Mets
4
NATIONALS
8
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 4–8 Nationals
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 64% | 36% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games